Wicked Problems

I came across the term “wicked problem” in the text that I am using for my SNHU course International Supply Chain Management.* A wicked problem involves multiple stakeholders, each with different interests and values. As a result there is no single common goal , no clear mission, and no universal solution. Any solution, after being implemented, will generate waves of consequences and can result in making the problem worse.  A suggested framework for tackling a wicked problem consists of 4 levels of increasing complexity:

Level 1- Process Engineering and inventory management– This is the engineering approach focusing on what is being carried (work, cash, information) and process design within and between organizations. Risk management is about improved visibility and control.
Level 2- Assets and Infrastructure- This is the insurance and financial approach. Nodes and links are examined and strengthened to avoid disruptions along the supply chain.
Level 3- Organizations and Inter-organizational networks– this is strategic level problem solving involving outsourcing, partnering, and offshoring.

Level 4- the Macro Environment- This level uses PEST  (Political, Economic, Social, and Technological) analysis of environmental changes. Issues include green and legal/regulatory as well as geo political factors.

Fortunately, not all logistics problems are wicked problems. If you need help with international logistics contact Ad Hoc Logistics.

*Global Logistics & Supply Chain Management by John Mangan, Chandra Lalwani, Tim Butcher, and Roya Javadpour

World Bank Logistics Performance Index

The World Bank has posted their Logistics Performance Index for 2014. The index benchmarks 6 areas of performance and gives nations a score from 1-5 for each area. The benchmarks are 1) Efficiency of customs clearance process, 2) Quality of trade related infrastructure,  3) Ease of arranging competitive pricing for shipments,  4) Competence and quality of logistics services,  5) Ability to track and trace shipments,  and 6) Timeliness of shipments in reaching destination within scheduled time of arrival.

For 2014 the US ranks 9th overall with an average score of 3.92 for the 6 benchmarks. Surprisingly, the highest US score is 4.18 for infrastructure, and the lowest is 3.73 for customs clearance.

The 8 nations ranking higher than the US are:

Germany

Netherlands

Belgium

United Kingdom

Singapore

Sweden

Norway

Luxembourg

 

Details @

http://lpi.worldbank.org/international/global/2014

 

Need help with logistics? Contact mitch@52.91.45.227 for a complementary consultation.

Is Importing/Exporting For You?

In the years that I have taught Supply Chain courses, many students have expressed the desire to start their own importing or exporting business. In some cases they were motivated by an interest in a particular product they encountered on an international trip. Others wanted to turn a hobby into a business. In these early stages the nuts and bolts of international logistics are less important than the product, the markets, and realistic expectations on the part of the student. As an instructor I always want to provide guidance and assistance along with real world business facts. The attached Twenty Questions are a good way to start the process,

IS THIS BUSINESS FOR YOU

US Customs Brokers info

Mitch Kostoulakos

Mitch Kostoulakos commented on a discussion in U S Customs Brokers.

 

  • Mitch KostoulakosMitch Kostoulakos Raul, I had the same question for the port of Boston a few months ago. You can apply for a permit as an individual license holder. If you have an individual license but want a permit in a company name you first need to apply for a license as a corp, partnership, or association. You need to complete CF314 License App, and supply articles of incorporation, credit report, and fingerprints. You should check with your port but hope this helps.

Book Review of Full Upright and Locked Position

Book Review Published in Transportation Journal, Spring 2014.

 

Full Upright and Locked Position: Not So Comfortable Truths about Air Travel Today

Mark Gerchick

W.W. Norton & Company, Inc.

500 Fifth Avenue

New York, NY 10110

2013, 331 pp.

ISBN 978-0-393-08110-7

$24.95

 

 

 

As any air traveler knows, flying today bears no resemblance to the relatively luxurious experience of the 1960’s and 1970’s. In fact, air travel in the 21st century is deeply unpopular from the passenger viewpoint. The reasons why are explained by Mark Gerchick, aviation consultant and former FAA and DOT executive, in “Full Upright and Locked Position: Not So Comfortable Truths about Air Travel Today”.

The book consists of ten chapters and an extensive bibliography. The first three chapters provide an overview of the current state of the airline industry. The reader is reminded that pre-deregulation air travel was not unpleasant, if not as glamorous as sometimes portrayed. While acknowledging the major upheavals in aviation between 1978 and 2001, the author points out that even bigger changes have occurred post 2001. Examples are the commoditization or air travel, the reduction of supply to meet demand instead of competing to offer more flights, and the unbundling of services adding fees to the basic fare. The contradictions are striking. Air travel has never been safer nor more dehumanizing. The technology is amazing yet airlines are now mass transit bound by strict rules and rigid processes. The goals are tight schedules, operating efficiency, and revenue maximization to the detriment of customer service.

The airlines’ safety record is thoroughly examined with ample supporting statistics. According to Gerchick, more than three billion people flew on US airlines from 2007 through 2011 with 50 fatalities, all in a single regional airline crash. In spite of this record, 30 million Americans admit that they are anxious flyers. Chapter 4 describes the aura of airline pilots, the “disembodied voice behind the steel door”. The pilot’s reassuring messages from the cockpit about “a little turbulence” are designed to calm passengers while giving minimal information. An inside the cockpit view portrays the boredom of flying, struggles against sleep, and constant complaining about schedules. Indeed, pilots are sometimes seen by their employers as angry whiners.

Chapter 5, “Fares, Fees, and Other Games”, probably the least readable chapter in the book, attempts to explain the myriad pricing schemes faced by passengers shopping for fares on the internet. After dropping from 1995-2011, air fares are now rising 4-8% per year and the FAA predicts continued rising fares for the next 20 years. In addition, baggage fees and other charges have created new revenue streams for airlines. This chapter does shed light on fare codes and “fare buckets” which allow airlines to maximize revenue and load factor.

Some of the most disturbing aspects of air travel are included in Chapters 6 and 7. There is no question that being a passenger for hours in a flying tube can be unhealthy. The hazards include respiratory issues from stale air, bacteria in close quarters, and blood clots resulting from inactivity. This list is followed by horror stories about planes sitting for hours on the tarmac and the effect on passengers and crews. In most cases there is no real DOT investigation of these incidents. DOT simply collects data about these delays and passes it along to the airlines. There is much opportunity to improve regulations and enforcement of consumer rights in our air travel system. Regulators have historically been charged with both promoting civil aviation and regulating safety with no real oversight of customer service. Further consolidation means less competition so a little more regulation may be in order.

The last three chapters of the book cover the pleasures of 1st Class and Business Class and a look into the future. The author describes Business Class as “the absence of pain” with the seat as the biggest differentiator. In other words we are not going back to the glamorous days of air travel unless you can afford a private flight or a ticket on Emirates Airline. Thanks to 9/11 and the TSA there are no more “daddy moments” for weary arriving travelers. Surges in jet fuel will continue to lead to new fees, reduced capacity and full flights. The rise of low cost carriers such as Southwest threatening the existence of legacy carriers leads to consolidations and mergers.

Analysts predict an industry on the brink of stability if not big profits. It may be said that we are approaching a 3+3+3 air system. Three huge network carriers, three nationwide low cost carriers, and three global alliances.

According to Mark Gerchick, these changes can be good for both the airlines and their passengers. Airlines are managing their businesses smarter when they control costs and match supply with demand. Revenue management and fees are important tools but unpopular with consumers. However, if airlines can achieve stability and sustained profitability the hope is that they will begin to compete on customer service as well as price.

This is a highly informative and entertaining book.

 

Mitch Kostoulakos, CTL

Ad Hoc Logistics, LLC

26 Heath Road

Merrimac MA 01860

 

 

Transportation Carrier Matrix

Transportation mode and carrier selection always involves tradeoffs between cost and service. It is helpful to understand the relationship between variable costs and rates. Here is a link to a Transportation Carrier Matrix that I have used in supply chain classes. It is a snapshot view of the various modes by industry type, operating costs, rates, services, and markets.

 

TRANSPORTATION CARRIER MATRIX

 

 

Schedule B and Harmonized Codes

Ad Hoc Logistics is working with a New England engineering company to verify classification of commodities for export and the subject of Schedule B numbers and Harmonized codes came up for discussion. The link shown below is to  FAQ’s at the export.gov website. These FAQ’s explain the difference between Schedule B and Harmonized codes pretty well so I won’t elaborate. As I explained to the client, Schedule B is for export from the US and Harmonized codes are for imports. Both are based on the HTS system in which the first 6 digits are universal. Importing countries can ( and do) use their own last 4 or 6 digits. So, since a US export is another country’s import, the Schedule B used for export may not match up exactly to the importing country’s harmonized code. As noted in a previous post, codes are updated annually so it is a good business practice to check and verify your data. Let me know if you need help.

http://export.gov/faq/eg_main_017509.asp#P14_1006

Reverse Logistics

Reverse logistics programs are fast becoming a major requirement in 3PL and procurement contracts. Not long ago “returns” were considered a nuisance by manufacturers, retailers, and logistics providers. They were handled only as a courtesy to customers. Today, environmental legislation is forcing companies to take responsibility for waste. At the same time consumers expect clear and efficient returns programs when making purchases. The EU is leading the way on reverse logistics with strong legislation and policies. In the US reverse logistics is evolving as progressive companies realize the opportunities to enhance their public image, lower operating costs, and improve productivity. In other words reverse logistics is moving from an added cost “returns” program to a value add process. Here are some recovery options in reverse logistics*

  • Reuse– inspect, clean, and use again for identical or similar purpose, value add
  • Remanufacturing– dismantle and reassemble or use for parts, value add in remanufacturing w/improvements
  • Recycle– sorting process for scrap, no real value add but can recover some costs

While the above  is good business practice it is difficult to plan and execute from a logistics point of view. One reason for this is uncertainty in timing and quantity of returns. Product life cycle and rate of technological innovation play a big role in timing of returns.

Successful reverse logistics implementation involves both external and internal factors. External factors include legislation, customer demand, and incentive. Internal factors include environmental concerns, strategic cost/benefits, volume and quality of returns, resources utilized, and integration and coordination.

  • Customer demand– environmental responsibility is becoming a competitive necessity
  • Incentive– companies need to make returns worth it for end users
  • Environmental concerns– growing trend, not optional going forward
  • Strategic cost/benefit– can help increase sales and asset utilization but will increase costs. Benefit is mostly long run after initial investments in equipment, design, process, and labor.
  • Volume and quality– returns must be managed to avoid scrap as much as possible
  • Resources– use available resources and assets as much as possible
  • Integration and coordination– must use info systems to gain competencies in recovery so reverse logistics does not become a profit drain but a profit center
  • Performance measures– forward logistics measures are not adequate for return logistics. Need to develop different metrics for return logistics. Ex: time required for product recovery, % recyclable/reusable at end of product life, core return rate, % product weight or volume disposed in landfills

 

 

 

 

 

 

*Global Logistics and Supply Chain Mgt by Mangan, Lalwani, Butcher, and Javadpour, 2nd Ed, John Wiley & Sons, 2012

Mexico Customs Disputes

Today I joined a US Commercial Service webinar “How to Settle Disputes with Mexico Customs.” Exporters to Mexico often experience frustrating customs delays. More serious issues involve denial of entry, seizure of goods, or NAFTA violations. The webinar info was very detailed so let me summarize my takeaways:

Mexican Importer of Record (IOR)

  • very rare for foreign company to be MX IOR
  • MX IOR is always liable for duties/taxes and compliance with non tariff barriers
  • MX brokers have significant liability, explaining their caution and due diligence which can become red tape and delays for the US exporter
  • MX IOR must have tax registration number and be listed on importer registry

Classification and Valuation

  • HTS code up to 6 digits same as other countries but subject to customs verification
  • MX uses 8 digit codes so last 2 digits are unique to MX
  • MX broker verifies or determines correct code and non tariff barriers
  • Valuation determines duty/tax according to MX law based on WTO rules (TV- Transaction Value, etc)
  • Non tariff barriers are regs not related to taxation such as trade agreements, anti dumping, etc
  • Binding rulings can be requested for classification, valuation or NAFTA rules of origin

When Are Goods Seized?

  • unauthorized port of entry used…mostly contraband
  • failure to comply with non tariff barriers
  • goods not declared on entry docs including errors
  • false name/address of IOR or false invoice
  • undervalued goods

Frequent Issues for MX Customs

  • Origin verification for US and CA companies claiming NAFTA preference
  • Failure of exporters  to respond to questionnaires from MX customs
  • Exporters address different from address on NAFTA cert
  • Exporters lack of knowledge about NAFTA rules of origin
  • Lack of original records

MX Customs Recommendations

  • Know your MX buyer and their customs broker
  • It is OK to contact MX customs for info…they will reply in English
  • Make sure NAFTA certificates or origin are accurate….many exporters simply guess
  • Keep original copies of documents….MX customs will only verify using original docs
  • Make sure to respond to questionnaires or requests from MX customs within 30 days
  • Communicate before goods are seized or litigation begins…best to use a MX attorney
  • Remember, prior notification to avoid liabilities does not exist in MX as it does in US

International Logistics Consulting; Licensed Customs Brokers